{"uid":"cap_HZ2veCdYHzJqaLCm-oKHH","slug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-cc259865","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_XeO0P_bgOigLbvxO5Y9xf","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the Yes/No breakdown and any big-money whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone market odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market odds for Ethereum flipping Bitcoin by market cap? Show me the implied probability and trading volume."},{"title":"Fed rate cut sentiment tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the Yes/No odds and current market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for macro, crypto, election, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Market has resolved or expired — stale or unavailable data returned","Network or upstream Polymarket API outage causing timeouts","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match data","Payment (x402) failure resulting in 402 HTTP error blocking the response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbook. It is especially useful when you want market-implied probabilities rather than analyst forecasts, or when you want to gauge large-trader (whale) sentiment on a specific upcoming event.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:03.434Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c"}