{"uid":"cap_HRSIR3S4iAsrYUMQe_WbZ","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-53be52b2","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":100,"minimum":1,"description":"Maximum number of items to return per page (1-100)"},"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"},"cursor":{"type":"string","description":"Opaque pagination cursor for fetching the next page"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_L7r8-bh7uUGvorXt8KIgt","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025, including current trading volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price target market odds","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probability and orderbook data for Ethereum hitting $5,000 in 2025 — I want to know what the market thinks and whether whales are buying Yes or No."},{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on the US presidential election — give me the implied Yes probabilities, current volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro event prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for me — what's the current market-implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut happening before July 2025, and how much volume is trading on that market?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, and AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Misspelled or irrelevant topic — returns unrelated market data","Payment not satisfied (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment must be completed before data is returned","Market may be resolved/closed — historical odds returned instead of live data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events — especially when you want implied market odds rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general web search when you need quantified probability percentages, orderbook depth, and volume-weighted whale positioning on a specific binary outcome question.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:43.119Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}