{"uid":"cap_HMS4fvYFcYjIqH6IlaO6k","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f3f60f09","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_O6CSMIQoTSXXXGfnwpM6b","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 before the end of 2025 — including volume and what the whales are betting on?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Ethereum hitting $5,000 this year — I want to see the Yes/No percentages and current trading volume."},{"title":"Macro event probability lookup","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket crowd probability for the US Federal Reserve cutting rates at its next meeting? Show me the orderbook sentiment and whale positioning."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket say about the odds of OpenAI releasing a new frontier model before Q3 2025? Give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any notable volume spikes."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most liquid one or require narrowing","Polymarket API or data feed outage causes stale or missing data","Topic string too vague or misspelled causes no match","Payment failure (x402) results in 402 response and no data returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market, especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, volume context, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer it over general web search when you want quantified market-derived probabilities rather than news or opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:29.442Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}