{"uid":"cap_HLQsGpVn5c_m7Gu5qn7Bc","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-10cc4b58","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_4jjJgh2FKfTwTCAYT4zFg","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for the Fed cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any notable whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? I want the implied Yes and No percentages and the trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto price prediction market lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year — what are traders implying for Yes vs No, and is there any whale activity?"},{"title":"AI regulation event odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket probabilities around the EU AI Act coming into full effect this year? Show me the orderbook sentiment and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the queried topic — returns empty or null market data","Topic too vague to resolve to a specific market — may return multiple candidates or an error","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or 5xx error","Payment not processed correctly — x402 payment required error before data is returned","Rate limit exceeded — too many requests in a short window"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money-on-the-line prediction market participants on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want quantified probability estimates backed by real trading volume and whale positioning rather than qualitative sentiment. Best for FOMC rate decisions, crypto price milestones, election outcomes, and major geopolitical events.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:36:45.963Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}