{"uid":"cap_H7-gk8pVP9vcgj6CdYF39","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-97edd1ad","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_VOxcXnzIATM_yUKuVJQwA","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — and what's the whale sentiment on it?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds check","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for the Fed cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting, and how much volume has traded on that market?"},{"title":"Crypto price prediction market lookup","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of year — I want to see the Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation event odds","prompt":"Check the Polymarket prediction market for AI regulation passing in the US this year — what are the current Yes and No probabilities and the total trading volume?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including the current implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader behavior.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic string too vague to resolve to a specific market — ambiguous results returned","Payment not received via x402 — HTTP 402 returned before data is served","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — stale or error response","Rate limit exceeded for the underlying data feed — throttled response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks for macro, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want implied probability percentages, trading volume context, and large-trader (whale) sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news sentiment when you want market-priced probabilities rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:39.029Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}