{"uid":"cap_H6wc7pe_52CCv1C3Gh7dj","slug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2f3c3614","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ymwejIUWo6ecs97Zm8ENr","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a US Federal Reserve rate cut in November — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $100k before year-end — I want to see the implied Yes probability, trading volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Political election market monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election? Give me the live Yes/No split and volume."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction lookup","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market for GPT-5 or a frontier AI model being released before Q1 2025 — what are the current implied odds and orderbook depth?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), orderbook depth, total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic string too vague or ambiguous, matching unintended or multiple markets","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable, causing stale or missing odds","Payment failure via x402 micropayment protocol before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion if queried too frequently"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events, specifically sourced from Polymarket's orderbook. It is ideal for agents that need to incorporate market-implied event probabilities into financial analysis, trading strategies, or news summarization workflows, and when you want whale/large-trader sentiment alongside raw volume — not just a general news or sentiment feed.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:19:57.830Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219"}