{"uid":"cap_GAyOlm_Mxa2nDKgEGoRYZ","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-a3a1ab87","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_AgxWdPTZXk3hq6rcSl-jv","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on whether the Fed will cut rates this quarter — give me the yes/no probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election? I want the yes/no odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year — include whale sentiment and orderbook data."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What are prediction markets saying about whether the EU AI Act will pass this year? Get me the Polymarket yes/no probabilities and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for matching Polymarket prediction markets related to the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword","Topic string too vague to resolve to a specific market","Polymarket data feed temporarily unavailable or stale","Payment of $0.01 USDC via x402 not completed, resulting in 402 response","Rate limiting or repeated identical queries without idempotency key causing duplicate charges"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks, especially for macro, crypto, AI, or political events. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, or when you need whale accumulation signals alongside raw odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:30:36.052Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}