{"uid":"cap_G-6OpYvoRqSJiI8djFxcV","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_rEYjRzjtHqATzbjJ4Vsaq","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probabilities for a US Federal Reserve rate cut happening before the end of this year — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability research","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year — I want to see the yes/no breakdown and any big whale positioning."},{"title":"Macro recession prediction market check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently price the probability of a US recession starting in 2025? Give me the live yes/no odds and recent volume."},{"title":"AI policy and regulation odds lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live odds on whether the EU AI Act enforcement will result in major fines for a US tech company this year — what's the implied probability and market sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes probability and No probability percentages, total market trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for markets matching the queried topic or keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or data feed unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets — results may include irrelevant markets","Payment not completed via x402 — request rejected with 402 Payment Required","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — request blocked"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's active prediction market participants, especially for macro, crypto, or AI-related events. It is ideal when you want market-implied odds rather than model-based forecasts, and when whale sentiment and trading volume context are useful signals. Prefer alternatives if you need historical odds, sports markets, or non-financial event predictions not covered by Polymarket.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:59.144Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}