{"uid":"cap_FVZwsUEjsAXoGTRGAnWXH","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f449c232","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_p86TpSEtEkuuXGVIRiMLm","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event odds research","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now — what's the implied probability that Bitcoin will hit $100k before the end of this year, and what's the current volume and whale sentiment on that market?"},{"title":"Macro policy prediction tracking","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the Yes and No probabilities and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket prediction market data for any markets related to AI regulation or AI legislation — I want to see the implied probabilities and trading volume right now."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, market question metadata, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple unrelated markets — results may be unfocused","Polymarket API or data feed outage — endpoint may return error or stale data","Payment failure via x402 — call not executed if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion — repeated calls may be throttled"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. It is ideal for agents that need to incorporate market-implied probabilities into decision-making, research, or reporting workflows. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want a quantified probability signal backed by real money and orderbook depth rather than qualitative sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:33:58.554Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}