{"uid":"cap_FUim3DxZEQWaGcajnE7bf","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-49c4ef25","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ONPFpTDEQCDpo9JcEETE5","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the Fed cutting rates in 2025, including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election odds real-time check","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the US presidential election — I want to see the Yes/No odds and how much volume is trading on it right now."},{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"What's Polymarket currently pricing in for a Bitcoin ETF approval this quarter? Give me the implied Yes probability, volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro recession risk gauge","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current odds on a US recession happening in 2025 — I want the live implied probability and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing the live Polymarket orderbook for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale accumulation or sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return the most popular match or require refinement","Network timeout on live orderbook fetch — slow or missing response","Payment not processed (x402) — endpoint returns 402 Payment Required"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over static news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and want to see whale positioning alongside volume signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:43.518Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}