{"uid":"cap_FCuIdAuYehzHVFxdK0iah","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-6648a422","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lTYeeBlIHyO2xK-oa_khf","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025 — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Track election outcome probabilities","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on who wins the 2026 US midterm elections — I want the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Monitor crypto regulatory approval odds","prompt":"What's Polymarket saying right now about the chances of a spot Ethereum ETF getting approved? Give me the live implied probability and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Gauge macro recession risk from markets","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability of a US recession happening in the next 12 months — I want to see what traders are actually betting on."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-position activity on the market.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic query is too vague and matches multiple markets ambiguously","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Payment not completed (HTTP 402) — call rejected before data is returned","Market has expired or resolved — historical data may be returned instead of live odds"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from an active prediction market rather than a news source or analyst forecast. Prefer this over general financial data APIs when you want implied market consensus odds and trader sentiment rather than price data or traditional statistical forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:27.018Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}