{"uid":"cap_F2ajAbZPcrWNsfI7GD0l_","slug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ac9129e6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_SUUor8fN77pym_MMszFnu","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in September?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a spot Ethereum ETF being approved in the US this year — give me the Yes/No implied odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Election odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the implied probabilities and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro risk sentiment gauge","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket-implied probability of a US recession starting before the end of 2025, and what's the trading volume on that market?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — results may be for an unintended event","Payment failure via x402 — call not executed if USDC micropayment not settled","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — endpoint returns 429 or payment error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-wisdom probability estimates from Polymarket's live prediction markets, especially for macro, crypto, or AI events. It is ideal when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money rather than poll-based or model-based forecasts. Prefer it over news sentiment tools when you need a single quantified probability with volume and whale-activity context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:15.690Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219"}