{"uid":"cap_EP77DulumHxYXNRHmLXD-","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2c9d3245","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_NrMpCLreIzOqDiuOGrh9A","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in Q1 2025?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $150k before end of 2025 — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and how whales are positioned."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Fed cuts interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Show me Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation event sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest prediction market odds on a US AI regulation bill passing this year — I want the orderbook sentiment and implied probabilities."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or no-match result","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or failed data fetch","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return incorrect market data","Payment (x402) not processed — returns HTTP 402 requiring micropayment before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — request blocked"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates and market sentiment for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want quantified probabilistic consensus backed by financial stakes rather than qualitative opinion, or when you need whale positioning data alongside standard odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:39.023Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}