{"uid":"cap_E89wEeHVfDknuCHvHnQpq","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-aa58c1a6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_W-YvfjGqdYDrFxzgoG020","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price target probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $10k this year, and what's the trading volume and whale sentiment on that market?"},{"title":"Political event odds for macro research","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the Fed cuts interest rates at least twice in 2025 — I want the Yes and No probabilities and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of GPT-5 launching before Q3 2025? Give me the full orderbook breakdown including volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket data for the queried topic: implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and related market metadata for macro, crypto, or AI event questions.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets — may return multiple or incorrectly ranked results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Payment (x402 $0.01 USDC) not fulfilled — request rejected with 402 Payment Required","Misspelled or overly broad topic keyword yields irrelevant market results"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbook — especially when you want implied yes/no odds, volume, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified market-implied probabilities rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:09.237Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}