{"uid":"cap_DorAfxY7MSr-4GLahQc6t","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9ad4a1c8","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_uTmnX8TebkXK7ppQPJUA9","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability right now for 'US enters recession in 2025'? I want to see the Yes/No probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for 'Federal Reserve cuts rates in Q3 2025' — I want the implied Yes and No probabilities and the current trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto milestone market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for Bitcoin hitting $150,000 before the end of 2025? Give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Geopolitical risk assessment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest implied probability on a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict this year, including orderbook depth and recent volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), 24h trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata such as question text and market identifiers.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or failed data fetch","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets — may return unexpected or multiple results","Payment failure via x402 ($0.015 USDC) resulting in HTTP 402 before data is returned","Rate limiting or timeout on high-traffic market queries"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events as reflected by actual money on Polymarket. It is ideal for agents that need to ground decisions or reports in prediction market sentiment rather than news or analyst opinion. Prefer this over general news APIs when you specifically want implied probability, orderbook depth, or whale position data from a decentralized prediction market.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:03.439Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}