{"uid":"cap_Di9MtyOLtArEApaIxZ5X1","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ef9f128f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_yGOFBvJ1jz3wAk7xl5ewF","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events given a topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year — and is there any notable whale activity on that market right now?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election odds monitoring for traders","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election, including current volume and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Fed rate cut probability for macro strategy","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Fed interest rate cut in Q1? I want the yes/no implied odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto token listing prediction tracking","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market for whether Solana will get a spot ETF approval this year — give me the current yes probability, orderbook depth, and whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is experiencing latency","Ambiguous topic resolves to multiple markets — response may include multiple market results requiring disambiguation","Payment failure if x402 USDC balance is insufficient","Malformed or too-short topic string triggers validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market — especially for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events where market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader belief. Prefer this over static news sentiment when you need a quantified probability (e.g. 73% Yes) with volume and whale-activity context rather than qualitative sentiment alone.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:34:24.027Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}