{"uid":"cap_DO1u8u6cASOYiGJJgXIj_","slug":"el-ni-o-market-watch-nofa-daily-trading-signal-b39ef2fc","name":"El Niño Market Watch – NoFA Daily Trading Signal","description":"Daily NoFA signal from El Niño Market Watch: a deterministic, rules-based LONG/SHORT pick across 21 ENSO-sensitive assets — expected return to the strong-scenario peak, historical hit-rate with Wilson 95% CI, CFTC COT crowding penalty, full rationale, plus the live paper portfolio (NAV, positions, trades). Simulation, not investment advice.","url":"https://trading-perps.vercel.app/api/nofa/signal","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","required":[],"properties":{}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object","properties":{"status":{"type":"string"},"trades":{"type":"array"},"equity_curve":{"type":"array"},"latest_report":{"type":"object"}}}}}}},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.25","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.25/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.25","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.25","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ZJryFfAKPRqRR4Rbgg-fe","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.25","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns a rules-based LONG/SHORT trading signal across 21 ENSO-sensitive commodity and financial assets, including expected return, historical hit-rate with confidence intervals, CFTC COT crowding penalty, rationale, and live paper portfolio state.","exampleAgentPrompt":"Pull today's El Niño Market Watch NoFA signal — I want to see the LONG/SHORT pick across ENSO-sensitive assets, the expected return, historical hit-rate with the Wilson confidence interval, the CFTC crowding penalty, and how the paper portfolio is currently positioned.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Daily ENSO trade idea briefing","prompt":"What's today's NoFA signal from El Niño Market Watch? Give me the top LONG and SHORT picks across the 21 ENSO-sensitive assets, with the expected return and hit-rate confidence intervals."},{"title":"Paper portfolio performance check","prompt":"How is the El Niño Market Watch paper portfolio doing right now? Show me the current NAV, open positions, and any trades that were made recently."},{"title":"Crowding-adjusted signal research","prompt":"I'm researching ENSO-driven commodity trades — can you fetch the current El Niño Market Watch signal and include the CFTC COT crowding penalty and the full rationale for the top pick?"}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object containing: the daily LONG/SHORT NoFA signal for up to 21 ENSO-sensitive assets, the expected return to the strong-scenario peak, historical hit-rate with Wilson 95% confidence interval, CFTC COT crowding penalty applied, a human-readable rationale, and the current paper portfolio state including NAV, open positions, recent trades, and equity curve history.","failureModes":["Payment not included or insufficient — 402 Payment Required, signal not returned","NOAA/ENSO upstream data unavailable — signal may be stale or endpoint returns error","Market data source outage — asset-level scores may be missing or incomplete","Rate limiting or cold-start latency on Vercel serverless — occasional timeout on first call"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a single, deterministic daily LONG/SHORT recommendation across ENSO-correlated commodity and financial assets, complete with historical performance statistics, crowding adjustment, and a running paper portfolio — all derived from El Niño/La Niña climate signals. Prefer this over generic trading signal APIs when the user's investment thesis is specifically tied to ENSO weather phenomena, or when you need a rules-based (non-ML) signal with transparent rationale. Not suitable for real-money execution advice.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-15T18:32:12.288Z","isFirstParty":false}