{"uid":"cap_DGh4MQF6K-hP0tM09HBdp","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7ab82ad8","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_-PiYiM-NKQ80jFBPDoiwt","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events by keyword or question topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for the Fed cutting rates in September — and is there any notable whale activity on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What probability is Polymarket currently giving for a Democratic win in the 2024 US presidential election, and how much volume has traded on that market?"},{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of 2025 — what's the current Yes/No implied probability and any whale sentiment?"},{"title":"AI regulation forecasting","prompt":"What are prediction market traders on Polymarket betting on for the EU AI Act enforcement timeline — give me the implied probability and recent trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities for the queried event, current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the matched prediction market topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Polymarket API rate limits or outages causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return wrong market","Payment failure via x402 resulting in 402 response before data is served","Network timeout when Polymarket orderbook data is temporarily unavailable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from active prediction market traders on Polymarket, especially for crypto, macro, political, or AI events where market-implied odds are more actionable than news sentiment or model forecasts. Prefer it over static news APIs when you want volume, whale activity, and live orderbook-derived probabilities rather than qualitative analysis.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:35:33.438Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}