{"uid":"cap_CmcuZbqNw_BTpca0SwH2b","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f548e5b1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_DWZV6nJvddvFwlDfBvetk","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025, including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum will flip Bitcoin in market cap this year? Show me the Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro event election odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for who wins the next US presidential election — I want the implied probabilities and current trading volume for each candidate."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market odds for the US passing a major AI regulation bill in 2025? I need the Yes/No probabilities and whale orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — agent may need to refine the query","Polymarket API upstream downtime causes stale or failed data retrieval","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment not fulfilled","Rate limiting if called too frequently without valid payment headers"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders. Prefer it over news sentiment or LLM-based forecasting when you want market-implied odds backed by actual money. Ideal for agents doing event-driven trading research, scenario probability analysis, or live market monitoring.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:20.404Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}