{"uid":"cap_Ch0dY-febpuVaaKgh9CIk","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7aefa543","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_6Cx-bg0HE58CS18hA1C2Z","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the next Fed rate cut, including whale sentiment and 24h volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election odds for political event","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities for Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election, and what's the whale sentiment right now?"},{"title":"Crypto market event probability","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — give me the Yes/No probabilities and recent volume."},{"title":"AI news prediction market check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the likelihood of GPT-5 being released before July 2025? Show me the orderbook sentiment and implied probability."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, 24h trading volume, whale buy/sell sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, or AI prediction events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — returns upstream error","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return partial or mixed results","Payment authorization fails via x402 — returns 402 Payment Required before data is served"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates and market-implied odds for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket, especially when whale sentiment and orderbook depth are needed alongside raw probabilities. Prefer this over news sentiment or social media analysis when you want financially-backed, skin-in-the-game probability signals rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:50.517Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}