{"uid":"cap_CXFVpXFe7DWYYd8M8yL-j","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-eeee68ad","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":100,"minimum":1,"description":"Maximum number of items to return per page (1-100)"},"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"},"cursor":{"type":"string","description":"Opaque pagination cursor for fetching the next page"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lutlCmaEhDQUe4wG9G3Sd","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut happening at the next FOMC meeting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say are the odds of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — give me the implied Yes and No probabilities and any whale sentiment you can see."},{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Can you pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year? I want to see the implied probability and current volume."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the EU AI Act causes a major model ban this year? Show me the implied probabilities and any large trader sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probability percentages, 24h trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment signals, and other market metadata relevant to the specified event or question.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic string too vague or ambiguous, matching unintended markets","Polymarket data temporarily unavailable due to upstream API issues — may return stale or error response","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC payment is not attached","Rate limiting if called too frequently without valid payment"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. It is especially useful when you want market-implied probabilities (rather than analyst forecasts or model outputs) and when whale/large-trader sentiment is relevant. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want financially-incentivized crowd wisdom expressed as Yes/No odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:36.335Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}