{"uid":"cap_C3KF28UDQA84VAJ48zZf5","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1aecd13a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Jdmhqv0XvXHvLhgfBeb4Z","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for prediction market questions on macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability right now for a Fed rate cut happening before the end of 2025?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of Bitcoin breaking $150k this year? I want the Yes/No odds and any notable whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the US will enter a recession in 2025 — give me the Yes probability, volume, and what big traders are positioned on."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that a major AI regulation bill passes in the US Congress this year? Show me the implied probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket orderbook feed is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the wrong market or a list of candidates","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — returns HTTP 402","Rate limiting or service downtime at the agentdiet.dev hub — returns 5xx error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market, especially when you want implied probabilities derived from actual money-at-risk orderbooks rather than sentiment polls or news-based estimates. Ideal for agents that need live market-consensus odds to inform trading, research, or briefing tasks.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-22T07:52:14.857Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}