{"uid":"cap_BhhN43Y3nBRNIKOgFRjXw","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-62e3c9d7","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Fd4K4FiOeLWpPLSWd19lQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k by the end of 2025 — including volume and whether whales are leaning yes or no?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the 2026 US midterm elections flipping the House — and is whale sentiment bullish or bearish on that outcome?"},{"title":"Crypto price target market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now and tell me the Yes/No odds and trading volume for Ethereum reaching $5,000 before the end of the year."},{"title":"Fed policy event probability","prompt":"What does Polymarket say about the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates at their next meeting? Give me the implied odds and any whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), 24h trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata such as event name and resolution criteria.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or 5xx error","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return unintended market data","Market has already resolved — data may reflect final outcome rather than live odds","Payment not processed (x402) — endpoint returns 402 Payment Required before data is returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real capital and want whale positioning context. Best when the question can be framed as a binary Yes/No outcome.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:33.822Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}