{"uid":"cap_BdOqK-OY261gf2NMZkP5f","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ae205300","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_0CY4fNY8lLCI3PmTi6b83","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket prediction markets for a given event topic or keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening in 2025 — including volume and how whale traders are positioned?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of Ethereum hitting $5,000 before end of year — and what's the trading volume and whale sentiment on that market?"},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting, and tell me how whales are positioned on Yes vs No."},{"title":"AI regulation event odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket probabilities for the EU AI Act being fully enforced by 2025 — give me the Yes/No implied odds and any notable volume signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, political, and AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — returns no matching market or ambiguous results","Polymarket market not found for the given topic — empty or null response","Network timeout when fetching live orderbook data","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is not included","Malformed topic string — API returns validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's live prediction markets, especially for macro events, crypto milestones, political outcomes, or AI regulation — and you want orderbook depth, implied probabilities, and large-trader sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over news search endpoints when you need quantified market consensus rather than qualitative reporting.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:16.020Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}