{"uid":"cap_BaaZs48WibkIQKAofYzUK","slug":"kronos-signals-btc-forecast-path-fan-b4e1898e","name":"Kronos Signals BTC Forecast Path Fan","description":"Kronos forecast path fan for BTC/ETH/SOL: p10/p25/p50/p75/p90 quantiles, expected close and forward volatility at 1h, 4h and 24h horizons, from 60-path Kronos-base Monte-Carlo runs refreshed every 20 min. Discrete-horizon distributions (no interpolation). Informational only, not financial advice. Live track record at /api/stats: ~54% directional hit, ~70% in-range over 15k+ scored forecasts — measured on served predictions, not a backtest.","url":"https://kronossignals.com/api/v1/forecast-path/btc","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"pathParams":{"type":"object"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object"}}}}},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.08","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.08/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.08","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.08","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_nr9XecpqXHLv--RIEyRO4","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.08","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns p10/p25/p50/p75/p90 quantile forecast paths, expected close price, and forward volatility for Bitcoin at 1h, 4h, and 24h horizons using 60-path Monte Carlo simulation refreshed every 20 minutes.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the Kronos Monte Carlo forecast fan for Bitcoin right now — give me the p10 through p90 quantiles and expected close at the 1h, 4h, and 24h horizons, plus the forward volatility estimates?","exampleUseCases":null,"resultDescription":"Returns a discrete-horizon probability distribution for BTC price: five quantile paths (p10, p25, p50, p75, p90), an expected close price, and forward volatility estimates at 1-hour, 4-hour, and 24-hour horizons, derived from 60-path Monte Carlo simulation refreshed every 20 minutes. No interpolation between horizons.","failureModes":["Payment not provided or insufficient (402 Payment Required)","Monte Carlo simulation data temporarily unavailable due to refresh cycle gap","Rate limit exceeded for the endpoint","Invalid or malformed request parameters","Service downtime causing 503 response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a full probabilistic forecast fan for Bitcoin price — not just a point estimate — with distinct quantiles to reason about upside/downside risk. Prefer it over simple price endpoints when building risk-aware trading signals, scenario analysis, or agent reasoning about BTC uncertainty over multiple time horizons. Choose this over the broader market screener when you specifically need BTC path distribution detail.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-14T12:55:59.251Z","isFirstParty":false}