{"uid":"cap_BAi9l-eaX_wttCYisX_sL","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e790ff09","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Ggn7AR4JWQPfoEMbCbJ9S","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for a Bitcoin ETF approval — give me the Yes/No implied probabilities, current volume, and what the whales are leaning toward?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for Ethereum spot ETF approval — I want the implied Yes probability and current trading volume so I can factor it into my portfolio decision."},{"title":"Macro recession sentiment check","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently showing for the probability of a US recession in 2025? Give me the Yes/No split and any indication of large-wallet sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets around AI regulation or an AI executive order — I want to see the live implied probabilities and volume for those events."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities expressed as percentages, current trading volume, whale (large-wallet) sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or error response","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match results","Payment failure via x402 protocol — request blocked before reaching Polymarket data","Stale orderbook data if real-time feed has latency spike"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from an active prediction market. It is preferable to news sentiment analysis when you want market-implied probability with actual financial stakes behind it, and better than opinion polls when you want continuously updated, trade-weighted probabilities. Use it specifically when Polymarket is the desired data source rather than generic forecast aggregators.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:34.340Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}