{"uid":"cap_Aakc3lucARqtAi9t9R7Ow","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-777124cb","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_eQfhOL24wmEFWQvsUDOrj","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see both Yes and No probabilities plus recent trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently think about Ethereum ETF approval — give me the live implied probability, orderbook sentiment, and any whale activity you can see."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market check","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current odds on a Federal Reserve rate cut happening this quarter — I need the Yes/No probability and overall market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals — giving a real-time crowd-sourced probability estimate for the specified event.","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket — no matching market exists for the given keyword","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets — results may be for unexpected market","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Empty response if topic is too generic or misspelled"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates and sentiment for specific macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. It is ideal over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-priced implied probabilities backed by actual capital at risk. Prefer this over generic crypto price feeds when the question is about a binary event outcome rather than a spot price.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:32.874Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}