{"uid":"cap_AajDARHHNmexd1teX2MfO","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f49fb87c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_FkdRQA4q51xDZbhm4oifa","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the Fed cutting interest rates in July 2025, including current volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Democratic candidate winning the 2026 US midterms — give me the live Yes/No odds and any whale accumulation signals."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event tracking","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket implied probability for a spot Ethereum ETF approval in the US in 2025, including current orderbook volume and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro recession forecasting","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds for a US recession happening before the end of 2025? Show me the Yes probability, trading volume, and any big-money sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), 24h trading volume, whale buy/sell sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata such as event name and current liquidity depth.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return unexpected or mixed results","Polymarket API upstream downtime — returns error or stale data","Rate limiting or payment failure via x402 — returns 402 Payment Required","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity and unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer this over traditional news sentiment analysis when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money at stake. Best suited for agents that need to gauge event likelihood, track whale positioning, or incorporate prediction market data into trading or research workflows.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:59.611Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}