{"uid":"cap_AZDBk-ziL5nJcsWIP3uMR","slug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5f74f76d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_nHVjJG6O-uc9J3XT38xRw","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — and tell me the current volume and what whale sentiment looks like.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment for each candidate."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone market odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that Bitcoin hits $150,000 in 2025? Give me the orderbook-implied probability and current volume."},{"title":"AI event prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the probability of GPT-5 being released before the end of this year — what are the Yes/No odds and how much volume is behind it?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators, allowing the agent to assess crowd-sourced probability for macro, crypto, or AI events.","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket — no active market matching the keyword returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return results for unintended market","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket orderbook is illiquid or market has closed","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response with no data","Rate limiting or upstream Polymarket API downtime causing 503 or timeout errors"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook-level detail including Yes/No implied odds, volume, and large-trader (whale) sentiment. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you specifically want prediction-market-priced probability rather than news tone or social media sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:20.931Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c"}