{"uid":"cap_AMSnZTqtfyGiASr4X1m10","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-097ac0a0","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_3OSrOgcuLMP3GtRnozgpq","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September 2025?' — include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin hits $100k before end of 2025? Show me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now and tell me the live odds on whether the Fed will cut interest rates at its next meeting — I want the implied probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"AI regulation event odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability that the EU AI Act enforcement leads to a major tech company fine this year? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity on the relevant prediction market.","failureModes":["Topic not found or no active Polymarket market matches the query — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregate or first-matched result","Polymarket API or data feed unavailability causes stale or missing odds","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need live, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as priced by real money on Polymarket — particularly when you want implied probabilities, trading volume context, or whale sentiment signals rather than news or analyst opinions. Prefer this over general news APIs when you need quantified market consensus or decentralized prediction market data specifically from Polymarket.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:20.196Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}