{"uid":"cap_ABhmnndDQxWbiwRo2XhF7","slug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e8b01605","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_67KxTAU3qSuSWvnMRFYto","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025 — including volume and any whale sentiment signal?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $150,000 before the end of 2025, and tell me what the trading volume and whale sentiment look like."},{"title":"Macro event probability lookup","prompt":"What probability is Polymarket assigning to a US recession happening this year? I want the live implied odds, volume, and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI milestone market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around AGI being announced or a major AI breakthrough in 2025 — what are the current odds and sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market(s).","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — empty or null result","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic resolving to multiple markets — unclear which odds to return","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or timeout on live orderbook fetch"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events drawn directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities with volume and whale activity context. Best suited for agents doing live market intelligence, trading signal generation, or event probability lookups.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:37:52.554Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-4c3229d4"}