{"uid":"cap_A8Q-zW6LNLdTv5QtZlfR7","slug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-847e5d5a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_CmUlJYFQYxA9vPqkJ8VGs","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — include trading volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see current Yes/No percentages and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Macro event Fed rate cut odds","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September? Show me the orderbook sentiment and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the live odds on Ethereum hitting $10,000 this year — I want the Yes probability, No probability, and recent trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position activity in that market.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match results","Payment required error (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC micropayment is not completed","Rate limiting if too many queries are made in quick succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks — particularly for macro events, crypto price milestones, political outcomes, or AI developments. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and whale positioning data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:18.415Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c"}