{"uid":"cap_A4J0G633gBtjGkzAjM4WY","slug":"polymarket-prediction-market-probabilities-2dc18014","name":"Polymarket Prediction Market Probabilities","description":"Prediction market odds: live Polymarket markets on any topic (elections, Fed rate cuts, crypto, sports, AI, geopolitics) with the probability each outcome implies as a percentage, plus volume, liquidity and end date. Search by topic words or tickers (BTC, 'fed rate cut') or take the biggest markets. A topic no open market matches is refused free, never sold empty. Input: optional query, limit. One market by slug: prediction.market.","url":"https://hubvibe-io.com/work/market/prediction?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer"},"query":{"type":"string"},"language":{"type":"string","pattern":"^[A-Za-z]{2,3}(-[A-Za-z0-9]{2,8})*$","maxLength":35}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"result":{"note":"Implied probabilities are what the market is currently pricing, not a forecast by HubVibe.","count":1,"query":"bitcoin","source":"polymarket-gamma","markets":[{"id":"512345","slug":"will-btc-close-above-100k","active":true,"closed":false,"volume":1834520.5,"end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","question":"Will BTC close above $100k on Dec 31?","liquidity":240310.2,"implied_probabilities":[{"outcome":"Yes","probability_pct":62.5},{"outcome":"No","probability_pct":37.5}]}]},"status":"ok","worker":"market.prediction","price_usd":0.05,"provenance":{"steps":[{"ms":640,"ok":true,"step":"prediction","provider":"polymarket-gamma"}],"attempts":1,"elapsed_ms":660,"providers_used":["polymarket-gamma"]},"receipt_id":"rcpt_9f1c2b3a4d5e6f70","receipt_url":"/work/receipts/rcpt_9f1c2b3a4d5e6f70"}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_LgTvNywnPVF5-OKGnpDqM","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market outcomes as percentage probabilities, searchable by topic or ranked by volume","exampleAgentPrompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Fed rate cut before year-end? Search for 'Federal Reserve rate cut' and show me the top 5 markets with their percentage odds.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracker","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds on who wins the 2026 midterm elections? Search for 'midterm elections' and show me the top 10 markets with their outcome percentages."},{"title":"Crypto event probability research","prompt":"What probability does Polymarket currently assign to Bitcoin hitting $150k this year? Search for 'Bitcoin price' and return up to 5 markets with their outcome percentages."},{"title":"Top volume markets dashboard","prompt":"Show me the 15 highest-volume prediction markets on Polymarket right now, across any topic, with their current outcome probabilities as percentages."}],"resultDescription":"A list of prediction market outcomes, each with a topic label and percentage probability (not raw price), representing the current crowd-implied likelihood as traded on Polymarket. Results are ranked by volume or filtered by topic query.","failureModes":["No markets found matching query — returns empty list or low-relevance results","Limit out of range (must be 1–50) — may return error or default to 10","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic query returning unrelated markets","Rate limiting or payment failure at $0.05 per call"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket expressed as readable percentages rather than raw prices. Ideal for political, financial, or event-driven forecasting questions where market-implied odds are more useful than expert opinion. Prefer over manual Polymarket browsing when you need programmatic, searchable access to outcomes.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-11T00:46:31.732Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-prediction-market-probabilities-2dc18014"}