{"uid":"cap_9wCUNLwYrMNFuMxzWLmza","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-3a798b73","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Ej_eOrvCXM0q4JRNauA1l","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed interest rate cut before the end of 2025, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Pre-trade crypto event probability check","prompt":"Before I make a big ETH trade, can you pull the live Polymarket odds on Ethereum hitting $5,000 by end of year, including the current implied probability and whale sentiment?"},{"title":"Political event prediction market research","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of the Democrats winning the 2026 midterms — give me the implied Yes probability and recent trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy regulatory risk assessment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest implied probability that a major AI regulation bill passes in the US this year, and tell me if whales are betting yes or no."}],"resultDescription":"Returns structured prediction market data from Polymarket including implied Yes and No probabilities, live orderbook snapshot, cumulative trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried event or topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or no-result response","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most liquid match or require disambiguation","Polymarket API or data feed temporarily unavailable — upstream outage causing delayed or failed response","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment must succeed before data is returned","Topic string too vague or too short — insufficient to resolve a specific market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders. Prefer it over traditional news or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities with volume and large-trader (whale) sentiment signals. Ideal for pre-trade risk checks, research on geopolitical or regulatory outcomes, or any workflow requiring quantified event probability from a decentralized prediction market.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:25.344Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}