{"uid":"cap_9rXzFb0eaIes6aZ3_wIgC","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8f1c5a57","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_WDKpygrboIpOkVNVwAH0f","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025, including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds for Ethereum ETF approval — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"Macro recession odds monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US recession in 2025? Give me the Yes/No implied odds and recent market volume."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on US AI regulation passing this year and tell me the current implied probabilities and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators showing how large-position traders are positioned on the event.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream timeout or downtime causing fetch failure","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets with conflicting odds","Rate limiting or payment failure (x402) preventing the call from completing","Topic too vague to resolve to a specific active Polymarket market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over static news sources or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, and when whale positioning or volume context is important for decision-making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:06.908Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}