{"uid":"cap_9jmcSafIZ74cT8_NQym2E","slug":"company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e9319ef5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_3dywtm-TqnCcUQo8FR-NH","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"company-enrich.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Pre-trade macro event probability check","prompt":"Before I make any trades today, can you pull the live Polymarket odds for the Fed cutting rates in September 2025, including implied probabilities and whale sentiment?"},{"title":"Election outcome market monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Republican winning the 2026 midterms — give me the Yes/No implied odds and recent volume?"},{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market data for Ethereum ETF net inflows turning positive this month — I want to see the orderbook implied probability and any big whale positioning."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic resolves to wrong market — caller should use more specific event phrasing","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream data outage","Rate limiting or payment failure via x402 — returns 402 Payment Required","Stale data if Polymarket market has resolved or been delisted"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for discrete macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money, or over centralized odds APIs when you want on-chain DeFi-native event probability data with whale activity context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:50:17.180Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-15e02655"}