{"uid":"cap_9BS8F0PzqMBzeD-C83ldJ","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e3f9d35d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_6ocCoEjNLbrSA3xAmXybl","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for prediction market topics covering macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Bitcoin ETF approval in 2025' — and what's the whale sentiment on it?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut interest rates before the end of Q3 2025 — I want the implied Yes and No probabilities and any notable volume spikes."},{"title":"Crypto price prediction market monitoring","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently betting on for Ethereum hitting $5,000 this year? Give me the latest implied probability and volume figures."},{"title":"AI event crowd forecast","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest prediction market odds on whether GPT-5 or a major AGI milestone will be announced this year — I want the Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale sentiment indicators for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple unrelated markets — may return unexpected market data","Polymarket API upstream outage — endpoint may return error or stale data","Very niche or newly created markets may have low volume and unreliable orderbook depth","Payment failure via x402 micropayment protocol — call not executed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money on Polymarket — especially when you want implied probabilities backed by orderbook depth and whale activity rather than polls or model forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:49:45.878Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}