{"uid":"cap_9594NhKK3G0SnC7jINQld","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d93a3b87","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_olRbA2iq_8C5_hody7PnV","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Fed rate cut in 2025'? I want to see the orderbook sentiment and trading volume too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the Republican candidate wins the 2026 midterms? Show me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone market","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket prediction market for Bitcoin hitting $150k this year — I want the Yes probability, volume, and what big traders are betting on."},{"title":"Fed policy rate decision odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the implied odds and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return the wrong market's odds","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — returns error or stale data","Topic too vague to resolve a specific market — requires more specific event keyword","Payment not completed (x402 flow failure) — endpoint returns 402 and no data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability data from Polymarket for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want both the implied market odds and large-trader sentiment in a single call. Prefer it over generic news or sentiment APIs when you specifically need prediction market pricing as a probability signal rather than subjective sentiment scores.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:49.055Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}