{"uid":"cap_8wuSrdLbu-bADcFyGZges","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-36f7326d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_9I6waY3K1uV-vLhtuzTHr","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $10k this year? Include volume and any whale sentiment if available."},{"title":"Macro policy event odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — what are the Yes and No probabilities right now?"},{"title":"AI or tech event prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest prediction market odds on whether OpenAI will release GPT-5 before the end of this quarter, including trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live orderbook-derived implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried Polymarket prediction market event or topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Polymarket API downstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets — may return multiple results or best-effort match","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance insufficient"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events backed by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or social media scrapers when you want market-implied probabilities with financial skin-in-the-game, orderbook depth, and whale activity signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:36:57.917Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}