{"uid":"cap_8wfbUzCQjgm8baip5qrqI","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8e756af5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lrCKGBz4AptVTn5RZbu92","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $100K by end of year — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for Ethereum ETF approval — I want to see the yes/no split and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Political election odds lookup","prompt":"What's Polymarket saying right now about the US presidential election outcome? Give me the live yes/no probabilities and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"Macro Fed rate cut odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the implied probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — I need the live orderbook odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC payment header is missing or insufficient","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable or rate-limited","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets, returning aggregated or partial results","Network timeout if the upstream Polymarket data source is slow"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's liquid prediction markets, especially when you want implied odds, volume context, and whale sentiment rather than news-based analysis. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified market-consensus probabilities with financial skin-in-the-game.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:42:44.129Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}