{"uid":"cap_8ssvXStFFzdwsfKEGlcV5","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b8864867","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Ef_ceoWCtoRY_HF3J_TRm","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin ETF approval, including whale sentiment and recent volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Ethereum hitting $5,000 this year — I want to see the implied Yes/No probability and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Macro risk sentiment monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a US recession in 2025? Give me the implied probabilities and any whale activity on the market."},{"title":"AI event prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any prediction markets around GPT-5 or major AI regulation — what are the current odds and orderbook sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant prediction market events matching the query.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic too vague to match specific markets — may return multiple unrelated markets","Polymarket API unavailability causing upstream data fetch failure","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 error before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded on the underlying feed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. It is ideal for agents performing risk assessment, event-driven trading signals, or sentiment analysis based on prediction market wisdom rather than traditional news or price feeds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:27.696Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}