{"uid":"cap_8lX3OOPnTP-oRKLL59GsX","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b2e61cc7","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_jEyavgmjLSAtDym7_cM8N","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the Fed cutting interest rates this quarter, including whale sentiment and trading volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for whether Bitcoin will hit $100k by end of year — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and any whale accumulation signals."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket probability that the US enters a recession in 2025? Give me the Yes/No odds and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation event forecasting","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market odds on whether the EU AI Act enforcement leads to a major US tech fine this year — what's the implied probability and recent orderbook activity?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, and AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable or rate-limited","Ambiguous topic query matching multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match result","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — returns 402 status","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity resulting in unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, AI, or political events. It is especially useful when you want whale sentiment and orderbook pressure in addition to simple odds. Prefer it over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified market-implied probability rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:38.995Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}