{"uid":"cap_8ZZLIUJdHTi--mKfCEklG","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f0255a0d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Bo3alBfwInuGwq6utWpVF","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year — include volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election? I want the implied Yes/No odds, volume, and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market data for an Ethereum spot ETF being approved this year — what are the current Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is on this market?"},{"title":"Macro recession probability tracking","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for a US recession happening in 2025? Give me the implied probability and any sentiment signals from large traders."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook snapshots, implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment indicators for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or missing data","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return aggregate or first-match results","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is not included","Rate limiting if too many requests are sent in quick succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders — especially when you want implied market odds rather than analyst forecasts, and when whale sentiment or trading volume context matters. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want a financial-market-derived probability signal for a specific binary outcome.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:36.435Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}