{"uid":"cap_8WVwIVxRcmYbKx5vjctuq","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-53a03eda","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_GuQNMOFrDv9a33GWkwyo2","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probabilities and orderbook sentiment for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see where whale money is sitting right now."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone odds lookup","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket Yes/No odds for Ethereum hitting $10,000 this year? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro event prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in Q3 2025 — I want the orderbook data and how whales are positioned."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity on relevant prediction markets.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the queried topic — returns empty or null result","Topic keyword too vague, returning unrelated markets","Polymarket API outage or rate limit causing upstream failure","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response before data is returned","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity for niche topics"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events backed by actual money — Polymarket odds reflect true financial commitment rather than survey sentiment. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want a single implied probability figure for a binary event outcome.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:34:24.315Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}