{"uid":"cap_8RyYTcO3QXOJk_EOLNzxq","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0db42171","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_R3znLlSNZdMaAezABi_Sn","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — include trading volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election? I want the implied Yes and No probabilities and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at their next meeting — show me the implied probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event prediction lookup","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum's price will be above $5,000 by December 2025? I want to see the orderbook odds and any large trader sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple or incorrect markets","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is rate-limited or temporarily unavailable","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — 402 Payment Required error","Malformed or too-short topic string rejected with validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want market-implied probabilities (not just news sentiment) backed by actual money and orderbook depth, including whale activity signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:26.775Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}