{"uid":"cap_89ZQwGYjQwM0Ogtb3gj4A","slug":"json-repair-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-97b9e5b0","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_8xOcqWpkKezJUrOL5I7IQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"json-repair.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"json-repair-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of year? I want to see the current volume and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone market check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum will flip Bitcoin in market cap this year? Show me the Yes/No odds and any whale activity."},{"title":"Macro event probability lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now — what are the live prediction market odds of the US entering a recession in 2025? I want the implied probability and volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market query","prompt":"What do prediction markets on Polymarket say about the EU AI Act enforcement kicking in before Q3? Give me the implied Yes/No odds and current trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API or data feed temporarily unavailable — upstream connectivity error","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return best-guess or require more specific query","Payment not processed (x402) — endpoint returns 402 if micropayment fails","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — returns error if too many calls in short window"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced implied probabilities for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is especially valuable when you want market-derived probability estimates (rather than analyst forecasts) and need whale sentiment or volume context alongside the odds. Prefer this over general news or sentiment endpoints when quantified prediction market data is the goal.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:36.436Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"json-repair-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-15dfd48c"}