{"uid":"cap_7g8ILt30DWQfuccy8mAKf","slug":"x402-factory-house-control-next-election-evergreen-probability-0f24f077","name":"x402-factory House Control Next Election Evergreen Probability","description":"Live probability: Who controls the House after the next election? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Who controls the House after the next election? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.","url":"https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/house-control-next-election","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"properties":{"type":"string"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"data":{"slug":"republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11","topic":"house-control-next-election","category":"politics","question":"Will Republicans hold the House in the 2026 midterms?","per_venue":[{"venue":"kalshi","implied_p":0.5965,"market_id":"KXREPUBLICANSHOL","volume_24h_usd":198477.06,"liquidity_score":0.931},{"venue":"polymarket","implied_p":0.5702,"market_id":"republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11","volume_24h_usd":227554.59,"liquidity_score":0.948}],"divergence":0.0263,"probability":0.5818,"current_slug":"republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11","last_move_1h":0.0006,"topic_question":"Who controls the House after the next election?","resolution_date":"2026-11-04","rolls_to_next_at":"2026-11-04","resolution_criteria_summary":"Resolves YES if Republicans win 218+ House seats per certified results."},"meta":{"docs":"https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.house-control-next-election","sources":["kalshi","polymarket"],"version":"1.0.0","endpoint":"/v1/evergreen/house-control-next-election","data_mode":"live","freshness":"realtime","request_id":"req_00000000","generated_at":"2026-08-21T03:58:58.089Z"}}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.02","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.02/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.02","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.02","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_uusL8eJck6xC2dv7duCTi","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.02","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns the live aggregated probability of which party controls the House after the next election, always resolving to the current active market instance and rolling forward automatically.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the current prediction market probability that Republicans or Democrats control the House after the next election, and has it moved in the last hour?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Political dashboard live odds widget","prompt":"Show me the latest prediction market probability for House control in the next election, including how Kalshi and Polymarket differ and how much it's moved in the last hour."},{"title":"Election night probability monitoring","prompt":"What's the current aggregate probability for who controls the House, and when does this market roll over to the next election cycle?"},{"title":"Policy research briefing prep","prompt":"I need the live odds from prediction markets on House control for my policy brief — give me the current probability, the resolution criteria summary, and the per-venue breakdown between Kalshi and Polymarket."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a normalized probability (0–1) for House control aggregated across Kalshi and Polymarket, per-venue implied probabilities with 24h volume and liquidity scores, divergence between venues, 1-hour price move, resolution date, resolution criteria summary, the current active market slug, and the timestamp at which this evergreen URL will roll forward to the next election instance.","failureModes":["No active market found: may return null or empty data if no current House control market is live on either venue","Stale data: if upstream prediction market APIs are delayed, probability and last_move_1h may lag real-time","Payment failure: $0.02 USDC x402 payment not processed results in 402 response","High divergence: per-venue implied_p values may differ significantly, requiring manual interpretation"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need a stable, evergreen URL that always points to the next House election probability without tracking slug changes yourself. Prefer it over building your own Kalshi/Polymarket aggregation when you want cross-venue divergence signals and automatic market rollover. Ideal for dashboards, newsletters, or agents that need a single consistent URL for recurring election coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-15T01:02:41.615Z","isFirstParty":false}