{"uid":"cap_7cAUutZmrasQrXLP-O0sA","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a1707369","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_mSWoDXOuT3FvzRkgVOokd","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability research","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin crossing $150k before the end of the year — I want to see volume and how whales are positioned."},{"title":"Macro political event odds check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Fed rate cut in Q3? Give me the Yes/No implied odds and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market pulse","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest odds on the EU AI Act being enforced by 2025 — I need the implied probabilities, volume, and whether large traders are leaning Yes or No."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, and whale accumulation or sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or the market is recently resolved","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or top-ranked result","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC micropayment is not properly handled","Rate limiting or timeout if Polymarket upstream is slow or unavailable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. It is distinct from news sentiment or analyst forecasts — it reflects actual trader-staked implied probabilities and whale orderflow, making it ideal for quantitative event-risk assessment or trading signal generation.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:27.021Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}