{"uid":"cap_7QvCwEkkuYmSL-OeJa9Nm","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_YDilrV0Gg7xmS8ISGh1-Z","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given event keyword or topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession in 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a Republican presidential win in 2026 midterms — give me the implied Yes probability, volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the SEC approving a spot Ethereum ETF this year, including the implied Yes/No probabilities and current market volume."},{"title":"Fed rate decision crowd forecast","prompt":"What are Polymarket traders currently implying about the probability of a Fed rate cut in Q3 2025 — show me the orderbook probabilities and whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total market volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API upstream outage causes stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or incorrect markets","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC payment is not completed before request","Rate limiting or quota exceeded returns error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI policy events as reflected by Polymarket orderbooks. Prefer this over static news or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities and large-trader (whale) sentiment. Best suited for agentic workflows that need live prediction market data with HTTP 402 micropayment support.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:39.027Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}