{"uid":"cap_71DKCY698eKdhZ6FjDL2y","slug":"momus-mlb-win-probability-model-cdba3711","name":"Momus MLB Win Probability Model","description":"Momus MLB model: win probabilities for one game from a pitcher-aware Elo (starter FIP/ERA, bullpen, home field) fitted on 7,000+ games, the de-vigged market, the 60/40 blend Momus bets on, fair odds, probable starters. Deterministic, no LLM. Either team name is enough for that team's next game.","url":"https://x402.momusai.io/mlb?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","required":[],"properties":{"awayTeam":{"type":"string"},"homeTeam":{"type":"string"}}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object"}}}}},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_H-CTReNAQEsVDNXMVBLyD","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns pitcher-aware Elo-based win probabilities, fair odds, de-vigged market odds, and a 60/40 model-market blend for the next MLB game involving a specified team","exampleAgentPrompt":"What does the Momus MLB model say about the next Dodgers game — give me the win probabilities, fair odds, the 60/40 blend they bet on, and who the probable starters are.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Pre-game betting edge research","prompt":"Pull up the Momus MLB model for the next Yankees game — I want to see their win probability, the de-vigged market odds, and the 60/40 blend so I can compare against my sportsbook line."},{"title":"Probable starter impact analysis","prompt":"Who are the probable starters for the next Cubs game and how does the Momus pitcher-aware Elo model translate their FIP and ERA into win probabilities and fair odds?"},{"title":"Daily fantasy lineup decision","prompt":"I'm deciding between rostering a pitcher from the Astros or the Braves tonight — can you check the Momus MLB model for both their next games and tell me the win probabilities and starter details?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns win probabilities for both teams, fair odds, de-vigged market odds, the 60/40 model-market blend Momus uses for betting, probable starting pitchers with FIP/ERA metrics, bullpen ratings, and home field advantage adjustments — all deterministically computed from a model trained on 7,000+ games.","failureModes":["Team name not recognized or misspelled — no matching game found","No scheduled upcoming game found for the specified team","Missing required query parameter (awayTeam or homeTeam)","Stale or unavailable starter data for that game","Payment not processed (x402 payment required at $0.05 USDC per call)"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need a deterministic, pitcher-aware MLB win probability model that blends Elo ratings with live market odds — especially when starter FIP/ERA and bullpen quality matter for the prediction. Prefer it over generic odds APIs when you want fair (de-vigged) probabilities and a model-market blend rather than raw sportsbook lines.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-13T12:34:58.044Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"momus-mlb-win-probability-model-cdba3711"}